Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 896.076705 1017.198987 1153.713401 1319.980113 1518.370941 1749.212942 2040.642126
2025-01-26 738.572513 902.031354 1104.940959 1379.687686 1748.893239 2238.238215 2954.175543
2025-02-02 647.228726 827.354249 1065.103188 1410.350837 1913.868110 2647.001392 3847.470807
2025-02-09 578.956887 766.527330 1026.246814 1425.165506 2047.712484 3030.252701 4810.266672
2025-02-16 520.515383 708.658316 979.392669 1414.849141 2134.328059 3352.293424 5770.368370
2025-02-23 486.644589 680.252382 969.272152 1455.465196 2305.749062 3852.368024 7237.931212
2025-03-02 459.653668 657.991832 964.137945 1501.010566 2491.915577 4425.248963 9099.274414
2025-03-09 430.829555 629.229835 944.302074 1517.053971 2625.671539 4930.665829 11050.906812
2025-03-16 401.032453 595.623321 912.134083 1505.445919 2702.358725 5336.007574 12962.440061
2025-03-23 381.856141 577.129780 902.814868 1533.550203 2864.080471 5981.088160 15953.422144
2025-03-30 352.379126 538.865683 855.212393 1481.673397 2844.822767 6183.474573 17677.434816
2025-04-06 327.013228 505.489079 813.013468 1434.760498 2827.738837 6387.935808 19564.430769
2025-04-13 302.628939 472.697503 770.219574 1384.096666 2799.866688 6577.289904 21650.829344
2025-04-20 295.377795 469.209765 780.914868 1445.908188 3055.559220 7677.721661 28772.667651
2025-04-27 285.050348 459.271483 778.275225 1478.638136 3247.095077 8671.955882 36791.501354
2025-05-04 273.651672 446.417661 768.637633 1494.368787 3398.377111 9608.543477 46065.071109
2025-05-11 260.388117 429.103751 748.552288 1483.405794 3474.243079 10318.570710 55261.941067
2025-05-18 253.713874 423.550872 751.412988 1526.580587 3717.309649 11803.397612 74098.196808
2025-05-25 247.911273 419.162737 756.147133 1575.020666 3990.934084 13596.823830 102109.353966
2025-06-01 239.653423 409.410121 748.717036 1592.089999 4171.582749 15106.828332 133973.776064
2025-06-08 229.520877 395.298610 730.766554 1579.739322 4252.917334 16201.039619 166351.071848
2025-06-15 223.494953 388.910693 728.952927 1609.644481 4489.698886 18304.914111 231967.684307
2025-06-22 211.368027 369.547232 697.068960 1554.451264 4408.325126 18567.307523 261858.635103